PENUAAN POPULASI DAN DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI MAKRO JANGKA PANJANG DI ASIA TIMUR
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.51903/manajemen.v1i2.140Keywords:
population aging, innovation, capital and laborAbstract
This study will examine the impact of the population aging phenomenon on innovation and long-term macroeconomic balance in several East Asian countries. The variables used in this study include the number of elderly population, population growth, income per capita, birth rate, death rate, institutional quality, education level, unemployment rate and gross national expenditure. The data analysis method that will be used is the Monash-China Hunan-University General Equilibrium (MC-HUGE) model which is the development of the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. The MC-HUGE model is built on the Walrasian general equilibrium theory and input-output theory, including the three main elements in production activities, namely land, capital and labor.
References
Banister, J., Bloom, D.E. & Rosenberg, L., 2010. Population Aging and Economic Growth in China. , (53), pp.1–42.
Faruqee, H. & Mühleisen, M., 2003. Population aging in Japan: Demographic shock and fiscal sustainability. Japan and the World Economy, 15, pp.185–210.
Fougère, M. & Mérette, M., An Econometric Examination of the Impact of Population Ageing on Personal Savings in Canada.
Horioka, C.Y., Suzuki, W. & Hatta, T., 2007. Discussion Paper No . 692 AGING , SAVING , AND PUBLIC PENSIONS IN JAPAN Charles Yuji Horioka and. , (692).
Irmen, A., 2013. Capital- and Labor-Saving Technical Change in an Aging Economy. CREA working paper.
Irmen, A., 2014. Population Aging and Innovation Do Old Societies Think New Ideas ?
Irmen, A., 2011. Steady-state growth and the elasticity of substitution. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 35(496), pp.1215–1228.
Irmen, A. & Tabakovi, A., Endogenous Capital- and Labor-Augmenting Technical Change in the Neoclassical Growth Model.
Jones, C. & Scrimgeour, D., 2005. The steady-state growth theorem: Understanding uzawa (1961). NBER Working Paper, August, (1961), pp.1–9. Available at: https://www.aea-net.org/annual_mtg_papers/2006/0106_1430_0702.pdf.
Lee, S., Mason, A. & Park, D., 2011. Why Does Population Aging Matter So Much for Asia ? Population Aging , Economic Security and Economic Growth in Asia. , (1), pp.1–34.
Li, H. & Zhang, X., 2015. Population Aging and Economic Growth: The Chinese Experience of Solow Model. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 7(3), pp.199–206. Available at: http://www.ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/view/43303.
Mason, A. & Lee, S.H., 2011. Economic Progress in Asia :
Nagarajan, R., 2013. The Impact of Population Ageing on Economic Growth : An In-depth Bibliometric Analysis. , (September).
Prettner, K., 2009. Population Ageing and Endogenous Economic Growth. The Educational Forum, 54.
Prettner, K., 2011. Population aging and endogenous economic growth Population aging and endogenous economic growth. PGDA Working Paper, (72).
Song, X. & Chen, L., 2011. The Research of Chinese Population Aging Based on Econometric Model. , 1(7), pp.40–43.
Yanjun, L., Population Aging , Saving Rate and Long-term Economic Growth in China ： Based on Dynamic CGE Model.
.png)
